AFC South Odds, Betting Preview & Professional NFL Assessment

Barring a beautiful turnaround by Jacksonville and/or Houston this period underneath rookie NFL head coaches, the AFC South really should be a two-staff race for the next consecutive time involving Tennessee and Indianapolis.

The Titans and Colts the two finished 11-5 last season, with the Titans successful the division by means of tiebreaker and the Colts acquiring a wild card.

No. 1 Indianapolis Colts

The Colts and Titans are each in the vicinity of even-revenue alternatives to gain the loop, but Indy warrants an edge mostly simply because of a outstanding defense and the benefit of a significantly less taxing timetable.

Indy responded to the retirement of QB Philip Rivers by dealing for disgruntled Philadelphia sign-caller Carson Wentz, who ought to take pleasure in running behind an offensive line that yielded only 21 sacks previous year, the 2nd-fewest in the league. By contrast, the Eagles gave up a league-high  65. Indy will hope Wentz is not completely shell-stunned and will prosper, particularly going in opposition to 3 division rivals that all concluded in the base 5 in defense in 2020.

Wentz ought to be in a ease and comfort zone getting reunited with his old posture coach, Frank Reich, who is the head male with Indy.

And there’s a whole lot to like at running back again, with Jonathan Taylor (5./have, 1,169 yards) coming off a effective freshman time. He’ll be joined by 3rd-down specialist  Nyheim Hines.  And if Marlon Mack has anything at all left after his Achilles injury in 2020, a yr immediately after a 1,000-garden year, it will be a formidable group.

Irrespective, they’ll be functioning powering a line that now consists of ex-KC standout OLT Eric Fisher (also coming off an Achilles injuries) to substitute retired 10-year starter  Anthony Castonzo. Fisher will be up coming to All-Pro guard Quentin Nelson, but could not be prepared by Week 1.

Passing targets are stable in TE Jack Doyle, a two-time Professional Bowler, and 2nd-calendar year male Michael Pittman,  who is tough longtime star T.Y. Hilton to be the go-to man.

Defensively, a few-time Professional Bowl LB Darius Leonard and DeForest Buckner, who experienced 9.5 sacks very last year, must be aided by  rookie edge rusher Kwity Paye of Michigan, drafted in the very first spherical to be part of a secondary that is widely claimed to be in wonderful shape. Indy also was particularly stingy halting the run.

Be aware: The Colts will participate in host to a league-significant 3 video games in which a West Coastline workforce visits and has the inconvenience of taking part in in the early Sunday “jet lag” time slot.

The Titans are loaded offensively at the talent positions, but how lengthy can two-time defending speeding champ Derrick Henry preserve creating with these a large workload. Very last year he turned the eighth RB in league background to eclipse 2,000 yards, but at what value? Counting playoffs, he had a occupation-substantial 396 carries very last year, a yr right after acquiring 386. Each had been league highs.

Assuming the Titans back off a tad on his touches, a lot more will be loaded onto the shoulders of QB Ryan Tannehill (33 TDs, 7 INTs in 2020), who experienced to be thrilled with the team’s acquisition of ex-Atlanta WR Julio Jones, a 7-time Professional Bowler who’s averaged 15.2 yards a capture in his occupation. He’ll join incumbent  A.J. Brown, who’s coming off a 1,000-garden period in which he scored 11 TDs.

On the downside, Tennessee no more time has TE Jonnu Smith (New England) and Corey Davis (15.1 norm). Which is bought to harm.

Defensively, the staff rated 28th all round in 2020 and experienced a move rush that was notably anemic, having a league-substantial six online games with out dragging down the quarterback. Integrated was a a few-sport extend in which the enemy passer stayed clean up, covering a complete of  126 throws. If ex-Steelers edge rusher Bud Dupree, who experienced 19.5 sacks in 27 video games the previous two a long time, can continue to play at a higher level coming off an Achilles damage, that will be a enhance. But he’s now on the PUP list. And very first-spherical draft preference Caleb Farley, a DB, is on the non-soccer personal injury listing.

Notice: The Titans hit the highway to facial area 3 groups coming off extended relaxation acquiring played the past Thursday. The Colts really do not have any this sort of video games. Also, Tennessee is the only division rival to experience two-time AFC champ Kansas City, and it will do coming off a MNF video game in opposition to Buffalo.

No. 3 Jacksonville Jaguars

The Jaguars experienced a deal with raise in the offseason by choosing “rookie” head mentor Urban Meyer and offering the QB task to rookie Trevor Lawrence of Clemson. Furthermore, the crew will have two new coordinators.

Which is not normally a recipe for fast achievement, but with the Jaguars it should not be hard to enhance on a 1-15 time in which they misplaced their closing 15 online games. A group that had the 28th-rated offense and 31st ranked protection can’t get a lot even worse.

Meyer, who gained 3 college championships (Florida 2, Ohio Point out) as head person and in no way experienced a getting rid of period, will be subsequent in the early footsteps of Nick Saban, who won a faculty title (LSU) and in no way had a dropping year prior to also heading to the condition of Florida in 2005 to coach in the NFL. He did choose a Dolphins staff that was 4-12 a calendar year previously to a 9-7 mark that to start with time, but abruptly abandoned the squad after a 6-10 year in 2006. The relaxation is Alabama history.

Meyer loaded up on Clemson stars in the very first round of the draft, also getting RB Travis Etienne, who will be a part of rookie RB sensation James Robinson, who rushed for 1,070 yards very last season.

On the damaging aspect, having said that, is the crew has mediocre-at-finest OTs and have been criticized for not acquiring a go-catching limited conclusion. Not to mention the secondary is very shaky on an already porous defense.

Notice: The Jaguars have the most straightforward opening month program centered on foe gain expectancy, with consecutive games towards Houston, Denver, Arizona and Cincinnati. But soon after that, it gets tougher with 5 straight versus groups that had 10-furthermore wins final season.

No. 4 Houston Texans

Successful four division titles in a 5-year span from 2015-2019 is a distant memory. This yr, below rookie manager Davd Culley, they have the greatest preseason Tremendous Bowl odds of any crew.

But heritage says there’s a flicker of hope for Houston and its futures backers. Just before on-line betting was the rage at DraftKings, William Hill, FanDuel and BetMGM, there was a equivalent extended shot that arrived by in 1999 when the Rams’ Super Bowl odds ballooned to 200-1 at some Vegas publications in late summer time after 1st-team QB Trent Environmentally friendly was dropped for the period with a knee harm. Who knew his backup, Kurt Warner, was a future Corridor of Famer?

In news this week, QB Deshaun Watson, previous year’s 2nd-rated passer, reluctantly arrived in camp to keep away from currently being fined, but he won’t be all-in. He’s however demanding a trade and skipped offseason operate. And which is on top of facing 22 active lawsuits alleging sexual misconduct. He could not play any place this calendar year.

Then there was a few-time Defensive Participant of the 12 months J.J. Watt requesting his release, receiving  it (with no compensation to Houston)  and signing with Arizona.

Contemplating the staff went 4-12 with both of those these stars, optimism is fleeting at most effective. Specifically for a defense that allowed a league-worst 5.2 yards a rush, a league-higher 69.7 completion level, the greatest YAC whole, and forced a league-small 9 turnovers? And the team didn’t have any draft selections in the to start with or next round, so large-time support isn’t coming from the schools.

If there is anything the Texans have in abundance is veteran functioning backs (David Johnson, Mark Ingram and ex-Broncos star Phillip Lindsay). But they appear a superior suit with a profitable crew playing from forward.

QB Tyrod Taylor, a previous starter for the playoff Expenses in 2017  when Culley was his position mentor,  and last 12 months on opening working day for the Chargers, will most likely be the early No. 1 at the posture. Stanford rookie Davis Mills, taken in the third round this spring, could be inserted if the season goes way off the rails early.

Be aware: Compounding the Texans’ issues is that they have the most tricky schedule in the South,

Very best Wager Value

The Colts for the Tremendous Bowl. It absolutely sure can help that they’ll get two video games apiece versus Houston and Jacksonville. And, of study course, shop all-around.